Using 30-day modified rankin scale score to predict 90-day score in patients with intracranial hemorrhage: Derivation and validation of prediction model.

Whether 30-day modified Rankin Scale (mRS) scores can predict 90-day scores is unclear. This study derived and validated a model to predict ordinal 90-day mRS score in an intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) population using 30-day mRS values and routinely available baseline variables. Adults enrolled in the Antihypertensive Treatment of Acute Cerebral Hemorrhage-2 (ATACH-2) trial between May 2011 and September 2015 with acute ICH, who were alive at 30 days and had mRS scores reported at both 30 and 90 days were included in this post-hoc analysis. A proportional odds regression model for predicting ordinal 90-day mRS scores was developed and internally validated using bootstrapping. Variables in the model included: mRS score at 30 days, age (years), hematoma volume (cm3), hematoma location (deep [basal ganglia, thalamus], lobar, or infratentorial), presence of intraventricular hemorrhage (IVH), baseline Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) score, and National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) score at randomization. We assessed model fit, calibration, discrimination, and agreement (ordinal, dichotomized functional independence), and EuroQol-5D ([EQ-5D] utility weighted) between predicted and observed 90-day mRS. A total of 898/1000 participants were included. Following bootstrap internal validation, our model (calibration slope = 0.967) had an optimism-corrected c-index of 0.884 (95% CI = 0.873-0.896) and R2 = 0.712 for 90-day mRS score. The weighted ĸ for agreement between observed and predicted ordinal 90-day mRS score was 0.811 (95% CI = 0.787-0.834). Agreement between observed and predicted functional independence (mRS score of 0-2) at 90 days was 74.3% (95% CI = 69.9-78.7%). The mean ± SD absolute difference between predicted and observed EQ-5D-weighted mRS score was negligible (0.005 ± 0.145). This tool allows practitioners and researchers to utilize clinically available information along with the mRS score 30 days after ICH to reliably predict the mRS score at 90 days.

Utility of serum chemokine-like factor 1 as a biomarker of severity and prognosis after severe traumatic brain injury: A prospective observational study.

BACKGROUND: Chemokine-like factor 1 (CKLF1) may be involved in the inflammatory response and secondary brain injury after severe traumatic brain injury (sTBI). We determined serum CKLF1 levels of sTBI patients to further investigate the correlation of CKLF1 levels with disease severity, functional prognosis, and 180-day mortality of sTBI. METHODS: Serum CKLF1 levels were measured at admission in 119 sTBI patients and at entry into study in 119 healthy controls. Serum CKLF levels of 50 patients were also quantified at days 1-3, 5, and 7 after admission. Glasgow coma scale (GCS) scores and Rotterdam computerized tomography (CT) classification were utilized to assess disease severity. Extended Glasgow outcome scale (GOSE) scores were recorded to evaluate function prognosis at 180 days after sTBI. Relations of serum CKLF1 levels to 180-day poor prognosis (GOSE scores of 1-4) and 180-day mortality were analyzed using univariate analysis, followed by multivariate analysis. Receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curve was built to investigate prognostic predictive capability. RESULTS: Serum CKLF1 levels of sTBI patients increased at admission, peaked at day 2, and then gradually decreased; they were significantly higher during the 7 days after sTBI than in healthy controls. Differences of areas under ROC curve (areas under the curve [AUCs]) were not significant among the six time points. Multivariate analysis showed that serum CKLF1 levels were independently correlated with GCS scores, Rotterdam CT classification, and GOSE scores. Serum CKLF1 levels were significantly higher in non-survivors than in survivors and in poor prognosis patients than in good prognosis patients. Serum CKLF1 levels independently predicted 180-day poor prognosis and 180-day mortality, and had high 180-day prognosis and mortality predictive abilities, and their AUCs were similar to those of GCS scores and Rotterdam CT classification. Combination model containing serum CKLF1, GCS scores, and Rotterdam CT classification performed more efficiently than any of them alone in predicting mortality and poor prognosis. The models were visually described using nomograms, which were comparatively stable under calibration curve and were relatively of clinical benefit under decision curve. CONCLUSION: Serum CKLF1 levels are significantly associated with disease severity, poor 180-day prognosis, and 180-day mortality in sTBI patients. Hence, complement CKLF1 may serve as a potential prognostic biomarker of sTBI.

Re-Admissions of 'Unknown' Traumatic Brain Injury Patients - Inadequacy of Rehabilitative Services in a Developing Country.

BACKGROUND: In neurosurgical practice, continuous care after discharge and the ability to detect subtle indicators of clinical deterioration are mandatory to prevent the progression of a disease. The care of 'unknown' patients discharged to rehabilitation homes may not have this privilege, especially in resource-poor countries such as India. OBJECTIVE: We have attempted to study the causes and outcomes of re-admissions of 'unknown' patients with previous traumatic brain injury (TBI) to estimate the quality of nursing care in our rehabilitation centers. MATERIAL AND METHODS: The electronic hospital records of all consecutive 'unknown' TBI patients with unplanned re-admissions at our institute from January 2014 to December 2018 were retrospectively reviewed and analyzed for the factors determining the risk and outcomes of re-admission. RESULTS: Out of 245 patients sent to rehabilitation homes at discharge, 47 patients (19.18%) were re-admitted. A total of 33 patients (70%) were re-admitted between 1 month and 1 year. Out of these, 38 patients (80.9%) were re-admitted because of preventable causes. Fifteen patients (31.9%) died during the hospital stay. The rest of the 32 (68%) patients were discharged after the management of the concerned condition with an average hospital stay of 9 ± 11.1 days. The average Glasgow coma scale (GCS) at re-admission of the patients who died was 6 (range 3-11). Two patients were brought in the brain dead status, whereas 20 patients (42.6%) had a GCS of 5 or below at the time of re-admission. The risk of mortality among patients with non-preventable causes was 88.9% (8/9) compared to preventable causes 18.4% (7/38). However, preventable causes for re-admission are much more common, resulting in nearly a similar overall contribution to mortality. CONCLUSIONS: There is a high rate of mortality and morbidity in 'unknown' patients with TBI because of poor post-discharge care in developing countries. Because preventable causes are the major contributor to re-admissions, the re-admission rate is a good indicator of a lack of adequate rehabilitative services. The need for improving the post-discharge management of 'unknown' patients with TBI in resource-poor countries cannot be over-emphasized.

Establishment and validation of a predictive model for tracheotomy in critically ill patients and analysis of the impact of different tracheotomy timing on patient prognosis.

BACKGROUND: In critically ill patients receiving invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV), it is unable to determine early which patients require tracheotomy and whether early tracheotomy is beneficial. METHODS: Clinical data of patients who were first admitted to the ICU and underwent invasive ventilation for more than 24 h in the Medical Information Marketplace in Intensive Care (MIMIC)-IV database were retrospectively collected. Patients were categorized into successful extubation and tracheotomy groups according to whether they were subsequently successfully extubated or underwent tracheotomy. The patients were randomly divided into model training set and validation set in a ratio of 7:3. Constructing predictive models and evaluating and validating the models. The tracheotomized patients were divided into the early tracheotomy group (< = 7 days) and the late tracheotomy group (> 7 days), and the prognosis of the two groups was analyzed. RESULTS: A total of 7 key variables were screened: Glasgow coma scale (GCS) score, pneumonia, traumatic intracerebral hemorrhage, hemorrhagic stroke, left and right pupil responses to light, and parenteral nutrition. The area under the receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curve of the prediction model constructed through these seven variables was 0.897 (95% CI: 0.876-0.919), and 0.896 (95% CI: 0.866-0.926) for the training and validation sets, respectively. Patients in the early tracheotomy group had a shorter length of hospital stay, IMV duration, and sedation duration compared to the late tracheotomy group (p < 0.05), but there was no statistically significant difference in survival outcomes between the two groups. CONCLUSION: The prediction model constructed and validated based on the MIMIC-IV database can accurately predict the outcome of tracheotomy in critically ill patients. Meanwhile, early tracheotomy in critically ill patients does not improve survival outcomes but has potential advantages in shortening the duration of hospitalization, IMV, and sedation.

Analysis of short-term ventilation weaning for patients in spontaneous supratentorial intracranial hemorrhage.

Prolonged ventilation is a complication of spontaneous supratentorial hemorrhage patients, but the predictive relationship with successful weaning in this patient cohort is not understood. Here, we evaluate the incidence and factors of ventilation weaning in case of spontaneous supratentorial hemorrhage. We retrospectively studied data from 166 patients in the same hospital from January 2015 to March 2021 and analyzed factors for ventilation weaning. The clinical data recorded included patient age, gender, timing of operation, initial Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS), Intracranial hemorrhage (ICH) score, alcohol drinking, cigarette smoking, medical comorbidity, and the blood data. Predictors of patient outcomes were determined by the Student t test, chi-square test, and logistic regression. We recruited and followed 166 patients who received operation for spontaneous supratentorial hemorrhage with cerebral herniation. The group of successful weaning had 84 patients and the group of weaning failed had 82 patients. The patient's age, type of operation, GCS on admission to the Intensive care unit (ICU), GCS at discharge from the ICU, medical comorbidity was significantly associated with successful weaning, according to Student t test and the chi-square test. According to our findings, patients with stereotaxic surgery, less history of cardiovascular or prior cerebral infarction, GCS >8 before admission to the hospital for craniotomy, and a blood albumin value >3.5 g/dL have a higher chance of being successfully weaned off the ventilator within 14 days.

Paroxysmal sympathetic hyperexcitability after brain injury: A clinical analysis of case series.

BACKGROUND: Paroxysmal sympathetic hyperexcitability (PSH) is a group of complex syndromes with various etiologies. Previous studies were limited to the description of traumatic brain injury (TBI), and the description of PSH after other types of brain injury was rare. We explored the clinical features, treatment, and prognosis of PSH after various types of brain injuries. METHODS: Patients admitted to the neurosurgery intensive care unit with PSH after brain injury from July 2019 to December 2022 were included. Demographic data, clinical manifestations, drug therapy, and disease prognosis were retrospectively collected and analyzed. RESULTS: Fifteen male and 9 female patients with PSH after brain injury were selected. TBI was most likely to cause PSH (66.7%), followed by spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage (25%). Glasgow coma scale scores of 19 patients (79.2%) were lower than 8 and 14 patients (58.3%) underwent tracheotomy. Electroencephalogram monitoring was performed in 12 individuals, none of which showed epileptic waves. Clinical symptom scale showed mild symptoms in 17 cases (70.8%). Almost all patients were administered a combination of drugs. After follow-up, most patients had a poor prognosis and 2 (8.3%) died after discharge. CONCLUSION: The etiology of PSH is complex. TBI may be the most common cause of PSH. Non-TBI may also be an important cause of PSH. Therefore, early identification, prevention and diagnosis are helpful for determining the prognosis and outcome of the disease.

The effect of amantadine treatment on neurological outcome and mortality in mechanically ventilated severe head trauma patients in intensive care unit.

This study aims to investigate the effect of amantadine use on neurological outcomes and mortality in patients with severe traumatic brain injury (TBI) (Glasgow coma score [GCS] between 3 and 8) who have been followed up on mechanical ventilators in the intensive care unit (ICU). Data from the hospital's electronic records were retrospectively searched. Patients over 18 years of age, with severe brain trauma (GCS between 3-8), who were treated with endotracheal intubation and invasive mechanical ventilation at admission to the ICU, and who were treated with Amantadine hydrochloride at least once in the first week of follow-up were included in the study. To evaluate the patients' neurological outcomes, the GCS and FOUR scores were used. GCS and FOUR scores were recorded on the 1st, 3rd, and 7th days of the first week. In addition, the score difference between the 1st and 7th day was calculated for both scores. The patients were divided into 2 groups: those receiving amantadine treatment (Group A, n = 44) and the control group (Group C, n = 47). The median age of all patients was 39 (18-81) (P = .425). When Group A and Group C were compared, no statistically significant results were found between the 1st, 3rd, and 7th day GCS values (P = .474, P = .483, and P = 329, respectively). However, the difference in GCS values between day 1 and day 7 (∆ GCS 7-1) was statistically significant (P = .012). Similarly, when Group A and Group C were compared, no statistically significant results were found between the 1st, 3rd, and 7th day FOUR score values (P = .948, P = .471, and P = .057, respectively). However, the FOUR score values between day 1 and day 7 (∆ FOUR score 7-1) were statistically significant (P = .004). There was no statistically significant difference among the groups in terms of ICU length of stay, duration of non-ICU hospital stay, and length of hospital stay (P = .222, P = .175, and P = .067, respectively). Amantadine hydrochloride may help improve neurological outcomes in patients with severe TBI. However, further research is needed to investigate this topic.

GFAP point-of-care measurement for prehospital diagnosis of intracranial hemorrhage in acute coma.

BACKGROUND: Prehospital triage and treatment of patients with acute coma is challenging for rescue services, as the underlying pathological conditions are highly heterogenous. Recently, glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP) has been identified as a biomarker of intracranial hemorrhage. The aim of this prospective study was to test whether prehospital GFAP measurements on a point-of-care device have the potential to rapidly differentiate intracranial hemorrhage from other causes of acute coma. METHODS: This study was conducted at the RKH Klinikum Ludwigsburg, a tertiary care hospital in the northern vicinity of Stuttgart, Germany. Patients who were admitted to the emergency department with the prehospital diagnosis of acute coma (Glasgow Coma Scale scores between 3 and 8) were enrolled prospectively. Blood samples were collected in the prehospital phase. Plasma GFAP measurements were performed on the i-STAT Alinity® (Abbott) device (duration of analysis 15 min) shortly after hospital admission. RESULTS: 143 patients were enrolled (mean age 65 ± 20 years, 42.7% female). GFAP plasma concentrations were strongly elevated in patients with intracranial hemorrhage (n = 51) compared to all other coma etiologies (3352 pg/mL [IQR 613-10001] vs. 43 pg/mL [IQR 29-91.25], p < 0.001). When using an optimal cut-off value of 101 pg/mL, sensitivity for identifying intracranial hemorrhage was 94.1% (specificity 78.9%, positive predictive value 71.6%, negative predictive value 95.9%). In-hospital mortality risk was associated with prehospital GFAP values. CONCLUSION: Increased GFAP plasma concentrations in patients with acute coma identify intracranial hemorrhage with high diagnostic accuracy. Prehospital GFAP measurements on a point-of-care platform allow rapid stratification according to the underlying cause of coma by rescue services. This could have major impact on triage and management of these critically ill patients.

iPad-Based Neurocognitive Testing (ImPACT-QT) in Acute Adult Mild Traumatic Brain Injury/Concussion: Study on Practicality and Bedside Cognitive Scores in a Level-1 Trauma Center.

BACKGROUND: There lacks rapid standardized bedside testing to screen cognitive deficits following mild traumatic brain injury (mTBI). Immediate Post-Concussion Assessment & Cognitive Testing-Quick Test (ImPACT-QT) is an abbreviated-iPad form of computerized cognitive testing. The aim of this study is to test ImPACT-QT utility in inpatient settings. We hypothesize ImPACT-QT is feasible in the acute trauma setting. METHOD: Trauma patients ages 12-70 were administered ImPACT-QT (09/2022-09/2023). Encephalopathic/medically unstable patients were excluded. Mild traumatic brain injury was defined as documented-head trauma with loss-of-consciousness <30 minutes and arrival Glasgow Coma Scale 13-15. Patients answered Likert-scale surveys. Bivariate analyses compared demographics, attention, motor speed, and memory scores between mTBI and non-TBI controls. Multivariable logistic regression assessed memory score as a predictor of mTBI diagnosis. RESULTS: Of 233 patients evaluated (36 years [IQR 23-50], 71% [166/233] female), 179 (76%) were mTBI patients. For all patients, mean test-time was 9.3 ± 2 minutes with 93% (73/76) finding the test "easy to understand." Mild traumatic brain injury patients than non-TBI control had lower memory scores (25 [IQR 7-100] vs 43 [26-100], P = .001) while attention (5 [1-23] vs 11 [1-32]) and motor score (14 [3-28] vs 13 [4-32]) showed no significant differences. Multivariable-regression (adjustment: age, sex, race, education level, ISS, and time to test) demonstrated memory score predicted mTBI positive status (OR .96, CI .94-.98, P = .004). DISCUSSION: Immediate Post-Concussion Assessment & Cognitive Testing-Quick Test is feasible in trauma patients. Preliminary findings suggest acute mTBIs have lower memory but not attention/motor scores vs non-TBI trauma controls.

Risk factors of in-hospital mortality and discriminating capacity of NIVO score in exacerbations of COPD requiring noninvasive ventilation.

BACKGROUND: Noninvasive mechanical ventilation (NIV) is recommended as the initial mode of ventilation to treat acute respiratory failure in patients with AECOPD. The Noninvasive Ventilation Outcomes (NIVO) score has been proposed to evaluate the prognosis in patients with AECOPD requiring assisted NIV. However, it is not validated in Chinese patients. METHODS: We used data from the MAGNET AECOPD Registry study, which is a prospective, noninterventional, multicenter, real-world study conducted between September 2017 and July 2021 in China. Data for the potential risk factors of mortality were collected and the NIVO score was calculated, and the in-hospital mortality was evaluated using the NIVO risk score. RESULTS: A total of 1164 patients were included in the study, and 57 patients (4.9%) died during their hospital stay. Multiple logistic regression analysis revealed that age ≥75 years, DBP <60 mmHg, Glasgow Coma Scale ≤14, anemia and BUN >7 mmol/L were independent predictors of in-hospital mortality. The in-hospital mortality was associated with an increase in the risk level of NIVO score and the difference was statistically significant (p < .001). The NIVO risk score showed an acceptable accuracy for predicting the in-hospital mortality in AECOPD requiring assisted NIV (AUC: 0.657, 95% CI: 0.584-0.729, p < .001). CONCLUSION: Our findings identified predictors of mortality in patients with AECOPD receiving NIV, providing useful information to identify severe patients and guide the management of AECOPD. The NIVO score showed an acceptable predictive value for AECOPD receiving NIV in Chinese patients, and additional studies are needed to develop and validate predictive scores based on specific populations.

Verbal Glasgow Coma Scale as predictor of persistent disorder of consciousness: Insights for improving accuracy and reliability in clinical practice.

This brief report discusses the relationship between verbal function, disorders of consciousness, and neurological follow-up after acute brain injury. It provides valuable insights for improving the accuracy and reliability of Verbal Glasgow Coma Scale scoring in clinical practice. The report addresses the need for standardized training and underlines the importance of physiological stabilization before assessment. Clarity in communication, recognition of non-verbal cues, and serial assessments are emphasized as critical factors to reduce the Verbal Glasgow Coma Scale inconsistencies. It also promotes interdisciplinary collaboration and cultural sensitivity to refine the Verbal Glasgow Coma Scale evaluation, improving the prediction of long-term neurological outcomes after acute brain injury and optimizing effective rehabilitation programs. Possible strategies to implement in the routine clinical practice the provided tips are discussed.

Retrospective Examination of Patients with Spontaneous Cranial Intracerebral Hematoma.

AIM: To investigate the relationship among the modified Rankin scores of patients who had intracerebral hematomas at discharge, demographic characteristics of the patients, and the characteristics of the hematoma. MATERIAL AND METHODS: In this study, patients diagnosed with intracerebral hematoma and treated at the Ministry of Health Ankara Training and Research Hospital Neurosurgery Clinic between January 2010 and December 2020 were examined retrospectively. The age, gender, comorbidity, anticoagulant?antiaggregant use, and Glasgow Coma Scale score of the patients were obtained from hospital records. The modified Rankin scale (mRS) was used to assess patients at discharge. RESULTS: Herein, a total of 114 patients with supratentorial intracerebral hematoma were evaluated. The modified Rankin score ranged from 0 to 6, with a mean score of 3.47 ± 2.26. When the patients were evaluated based on their discharge status, the mortality rate was 33.3% (n=38). Fifty percent of the patients who used anticoagulant?antiaggregant died. High mRS scores were seen more frequently in advanced age. Among the other diseases of the patients, hypertension and the use of anticoagulant? antiaggregant were found to be statistically significant with high mRS scores (p < 0.001). Patients with low Glasgow Coma Scale score at the time of admission had significantly higher mRS scores (p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Patients with advanced age, hypertension, and anticoagulant?antiaggregant use had a higher mRS score after hematoma formation. Preventable risk factors for spontaneous intraparenchymal hematomas are among the leading causes of disability, and early detection and treatment of underlying diseases are critical for hematoma prevention. Awareness about risk factors should be the priority to improve early diagnosis and reduce treatment disability rates.

Institutional Experience of Post-Traumatic Posterior Fossa Extra Dural Hematoma: A Prospective Longitudinal Study.

AIM: To analyze clinical and imaging characteristics of post-traumatic posterior fossa extradural hematoma (PFEDH). MATERIAL AND METHODS: Between 2018 and 2022, 51 patients were admitted to our tertiary care trauma center with a diagnosis of PFEDH. The management decision was tailored by an individual consultant based on clinicoradiological findings. We did a prospective analysis of patient characteristics, radiology, clinical presentation, management, and outcome at discharge and onemonth follow-up. RESULTS: Of the 51 patients diagnosed with a PFEDH, 45 (88.2%) were male, and six (11.8%) were female with a mean age of 31.2 years (range 2-77 years). Twenty-six patients needed surgical evacuation of the EDH, while the rest 25 patients were managed conservatively. There was one crossover patient from the conservative to the surgical arm. Road traffic accidents (RTA) were the most common cause of injury (n=35; 68.6%), followed by falls from height (n=16; 31.4%). Most patients presented with vomiting and loss of consciousness (LOC). At presentation, 30 patients (58.5%) had a GCS 15. Seven patients (13.7%) presented with a GCS of 9-14, and 14 patients (27.5%) with GCS ≤ 8. The mean EDH volume in conservatively and surgically managed patients was 14.1 and 25.1cc, respectively. Five patients (9.8%) had significant midline shift with obliteration of basal cisterns, 15 patients (29.4%) had effacement of the fourth ventricle, and 11 patients (21.5%) had the presence of hydrocephalus. All patients with features suggestive of tight posterior fossa (hydrocephalus, obliterated basal cisterns, and fourth ventricle compression) needed surgical intervention. Of the 25 conservatively managed patients, 24 (96%) had favorable GOS scores at discharge, while one (4%) had an unfavorable score. 16/26 (61.5%) surgically treated patients had a good outcome at discharge (GOS=4-5), while ten patients (38.4%) had adverse outcomes (GOS < 4). Initial EDH volume was inversely correlated with presenting GCS and GOS with a mean volume of 21.5 ± 8.5 cc in patients presenting with a GCS ?8. Patients with a GCS of 15 at presentation had a mean EDH volume of 16.1 ± 8.2 cc. Patients with smaller EDH had much higher GOS scores than patients with higher volume EDH (GOS 1 = 22.0 ± 9.83 cc vs. GOS 5 = 18.9 ± 12.2 cc). Outcomes mainly depended on factors like GCS at arrival and associated supratentorial, thoracic/ abdominal polytrauma. CONCLUSION: In patients with a clot volume of < 15 cm3 and GCS of 15 at presentation with no mass effect and absence of tight posterior fossa, a conservative trial under strict clinicoradiological monitoring in a neuro-critical multidisciplinary setting can be offered with good results. In cases of altered GCS, findings of a TPF, or clinicoradiological deterioration, immediate surgery is warranted.

Naples Prognostic Score Predicts 6-Month Outcomes in Patients with Severe Traumatic Brain Injury: A Single-Center Retrospective Study.

AIM: To examine how Naples prognostic score (NPS) relates to 6-month outcomes in patients with severe traumatic brain injury (STBI). MATERIAL AND METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed the clinical data of 94 patients with STBI between September 2018 and September 2021. Galizia?s method was used to calculate NPS, and patients were categorized as high (NPS > 3) or low (NPS?3) NPS according to their NPS scores based on receiver operating characteristic curve analysis. In addition, the controlling nutritional status score (CONUT) and prognostic nutrition index (PNI) were calculated. Based on the modified Rankin scale (mRS), the outcome for 6-months was evaluated. The mRS score for unfavorable outcomes was ?3. RESULTS: In the univariate analyses, patients in the unfavorable group had higher NPS scores (p < 0.001). The multivariate analysis demonstrated that NPS was an independent predictor of poor outcomes after adjusting for potential confounding factors (adjusted odds ratio = 7.463, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.131?49.253, p < 0.05). The area under the NPS curve for predicting poor outcomes was 0.755 (95% CI: 0.655?0.837, p < 0.001), which was significantly higher than Glasgow coma score (GCS), CONUT, and PNI (NPS vs. GCS, p=0.013; NPS vs. CONUT, p=0.029; NPS vs. PNI, p=0.015). CONCLUSION: NPS can be considered to be a novel and better independent predictor of poor outcomes in patients with STBI.

Validation of the Scandinavian guidelines for minor and moderate head trauma in children: protocol for a pragmatic, prospective, observational, multicentre cohort study.

INTRODUCTION: Mild traumatic brain injury is common in children and it can be challenging to accurately identify those in need of urgent medical intervention. The Scandinavian guidelines for management of minor and moderate head trauma in children, the Scandinavian Neurotrauma Committee guideline 2016 (SNC16), were developed to aid in risk stratification and decision-making in Scandinavian emergency departments (EDs). This guideline has been validated externally with encouraging results, but internal validation in the intended healthcare system is warranted prior to broad clinical implementation. OBJECTIVE: We aim to validate the diagnostic accuracy of the SNC16 to predict clinically important intracranial injuries (CIII) in paediatric patients suffering from blunt head trauma, assessed in EDs in Sweden and Norway. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: This is a prospective, pragmatic, observational cohort study. Children (aged 0-17 years) with blunt head trauma, presenting with a Glasgow Coma Scale of 9-15 within 24 hours postinjury at an ED in 1 of the 16 participating hospitals, are eligible for inclusion. Included patients are assessed and managed according to the clinical management routines of each hospital. Data elements for risk stratification are collected in an electronic case report form by the examining doctor. The primary outcome is defined as CIII within 1 week of injury. Secondary outcomes of importance include traumatic CT findings, neurosurgery and 3-month outcome. Diagnostic accuracy of the SNC16 to predict endpoints will be assessed by point estimate and 95% CIs for sensitivity, specificity, likelihood ratio, negative predictive value and positive predictive value. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: The study is approved by the ethical board in both Sweden and Norway. Results from this validation will be published in scientific journals, and a tailored development and implementation process will follow if the SNC16 is found safe and effective. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT05964764.

Cisternostomy is not beneficial to reduce the occurrence of post-traumatic hydrocephalus in Traumatic Brain Injury.

BACKGROUND: The Cisternostomy is a novel surgical concept in the treatment of Traumatic Brain Injury (TBI), which can effectively drain the bloody cerebrospinal fluid from the skull base cistern, reduce the intracranial pressure, and improve the return of bone flap, but its preventive role in post-traumatic hydrocephalus (PTH) is unknow. The purpose of this paper is to investigate whether Cisternostomy prevents the occurrence of PTH in patients with moderate and severe TBI. METHODS: A retrospective analysis of clinical data of 86 patients with moderate and severe TBI from May 2019 to October 2021 was carried out in the Brain Trauma Center of Tianjin Huanhu Hospital. Univariate analysis was performed to examine the gender, age, preoperative Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) score, preoperative Rotterdam CT score, decompressive craniectomy rate, intracranial infection rate, the incidence of subdural fluid, and incidence of hydrocephalus in patients between the Cisternostomy group and the non-Cisternostomy surgery group. we also analyzed the clinical outcome indicators like GCS at discharge,6 month GOS-E and GOS-E ≥ 5 in two groups.Additionaly, the preoperative GCS score, decompressive craniectomy rate, age, and gender of patients with PTH and non hydrocephalus were compared. Further multifactorial logistic binary regression was performed to explore the risk factors for PTH. Finally, we conducted ROC curve analysis on the statistically significant results from the univariate regression analysis to predict the ability of each risk factor to cause PTH. RESULTS: The Cisternostomy group had a lower bone flap removal rate(48.39% and 72.73%, p = 0.024)., higer GCS at discharge(11.13 ± 2.42 and 8.93 ± 3.31,p = 0.000) and better 6 month GOS-E(4.55 ± 1.26 and 3.95 ± 1.18, p = 0.029)than the non-Cisternostomy group However, there was no statistical difference in the incidence of hydrocephalus between the two groups (25.81% and 30.91%, p = 0.617). Moreover, between the hydrocephalus group and no hydrocephalus group,there were no significant differences in the incidence of gender, age, intracranial infection, and subdural fluid. While there were statistical differences in peroperative GCS score, Rotterdam CT score, decompressive craniectomy rate, intracranial infection rate, and the incidence of subdural fluid in the two groups, there was no statistical difference in the percentage of cerebral cisterns open drainage between the hydrocephalus group and no hydrocephalus group (32.00% and 37.70%, p = 0.617). Multifactorial logistic binary regression analysis results revealed that the independent risk factors for PTH were intracranial infection (OR = 18.460, 95% CI: 1.864-182.847 p = 0.013) and subdural effusion (OR = 10.557, 95% CI: 2.425-35.275 p = 0.001). Further, The ROC curve analysis showed that peroperative GCS score, Rotterdam CT score and subdural effusion had good ACU(0.785,0.730,and 0.749), with high sensitivity and specificity to predict the occurrence of PTH. CONCLUSIONS: Cisternostomy may decrease morbidities associated with removal of the bone flap and improve the clinical outcome, despite it cannot reduce the disability rate in TBI patients.Intracranial infection and subdural fluid were found to be the independent risk factors for PTH in patients with TBI,and the peroperative GCS score, Rotterdam CT score and subdural effusion had higher sensitivity and specificity to predict the occurrence of PTH. And more importantly, no correlation was observed between open drainage of the cerebral cisterns and the occurrence of PTH, indicating that Cisternostomy may not be beneficial in preventing the occurrence of PTH in patients with moderate and severe TBI.

Comparison of nine trauma scoring systems in prediction of inhospital outcomes of pediatric trauma patients: a multicenter study.

Hereby, we aimed to comprehensively compare different scoring systems for pediatric trauma and their ability to predict in-hospital mortality and intensive care unit (ICU) admission. The current registry-based multicenter study encompassed a comprehensive dataset of 6709 pediatric trauma patients aged ≤ 18 years from July 2016 to September 2023. To ascertain the predictive efficacy of the scoring systems, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was calculated. A total of 720 individuals (10.7%) required admission to the ICU. The mortality rate was 1.1% (n = 72). The most predictive scoring system for in-hospital mortality was the adjusted trauma and injury severity score (aTRISS) (AUC = 0.982), followed by trauma and injury severity score (TRISS) (AUC = 0.980), new trauma and injury severity score (NTRISS) (AUC = 0.972), Glasgow coma scale (GCS) (AUC = 0.9546), revised trauma score (RTS) (AUC = 0.944), pre-hospital index (PHI) (AUC = 0.936), injury severity score (ISS) (AUC = 0.901), new injury severity score (NISS) (AUC = 0.900), and abbreviated injury scale (AIS) (AUC = 0.734). Given the predictive performance of the scoring systems for ICU admission, NTRISS had the highest predictive performance (AUC = 0.837), followed by aTRISS (AUC = 0.836), TRISS (AUC = 0.823), ISS (AUC = 0.807), NISS (AUC = 0.805), GCS (AUC = 0.735), RTS (AUC = 0.698), PHI (AUC = 0.662), and AIS (AUC = 0.651). In the present study, we concluded the superiority of the TRISS and its two derived counterparts, aTRISS and NTRISS, compared to other scoring systems, to efficiently discerning individuals who possess a heightened susceptibility to unfavorable consequences. The significance of these findings underscores the necessity of incorporating these metrics into the realm of clinical practice.

Establishment of a model to predict mortality after decompression craniotomy for traumatic brain injury.

BACKGROUND: The mortality rate of patients with traumatic brain injury (TBI) is still high even while undergoing decompressive craniectomy (DC), and the expensive treatment costs bring huge economic burden to the families of patients. OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to identify preoperative indicators that influence patient outcomes and to develop a risk model for predicting patient mortality by a retrospective analysis of TBI patients undergoing DC. METHODS: A total of 288 TBI patients treated with DC, admitted to the First Affiliated Hospital of Shantou University Medical School from August 2015 to April 2021, were used for univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis to determine the risk factors for death after DC in TBI patients. We also built a risk model for the identified risk factors and conducted internal verification and model evaluation. RESULTS: Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis identified four risk factors: Glasgow Coma Scale, age, activated partial thrombin time, and mean CT value of the superior sagittal sinus. These risk factors can be obtained before DC. In addition, we also developed a 3-month mortality risk model and conducted a bootstrap 1000 resampling internal validation, with C-indices of 0.852 and 0.845, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: We developed a risk model that has clinical significance for the early identification of patients who will still die after DC. Interestingly, we also identified a new early risk factor for TBI patients after DC, that is, preoperative mean CT value of the superior sagittal sinus (p < .05).

Cutoff of the reverse shock index multiplied by the Glasgow coma scale for predicting in-hospital mortality in adult patients with trauma: a retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Early identification of patients at risk of potential death and timely transfer to appropriate healthcare facilities are critical for reducing the number of preventable trauma deaths. This study aimed to establish a cutoff value to predict in-hospital mortality using the reverse shock index multiplied by the Glasgow Coma Scale (rSIG). METHODS: This multicenter retrospective cohort study used data from 23 emergency departments in South Korea between January 2011 and December 2020. The outcome variable was the in-hospital mortality. The relationship between rSIG and in-hospital mortality was plotted using the shape-restricted regression spline method. To set a cutoff for rSIG, we found the point on the curve where mortality started to increase and the point where the slope of the mortality curve changed the most. We also calculated the cutoff value for rSIG using Youden's index. RESULTS: A total of 318,506 adult patients with trauma were included. The shape-restricted regression spline curve showed that in-hospital mortality began to increase when the rSIG value was less than 18.86, and the slope of the graph increased the most at 12.57. The cutoff of 16.5, calculated using Youden's index, was closest to the target under-triage and over-triage rates, as suggested by the American College of Surgeons, when applied to patients with an rSIG of 20 or less. In addition, in patients with traumatic brain injury, when the rSIG value was over 25, in-hospital mortality tended to increase as the rSIG value increased. CONCLUSIONS: We propose an rSIG cutoff value of 16.5 as a predictor of in-hospital mortality in adult patients with trauma. However, in patients with traumatic brain injury, a high rSIG is also associated with in-hospital mortality. Appropriate cutoffs should be established for this group in the future.